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<article article-type="research-article" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="1.1" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
    <front>
        <journal-meta>
            <journal-id journal-id-type="doi">https://doi.org/10.7906</journal-id>
            <journal-title-group>
                <journal-title xml:lang="en">Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems</journal-title>
            </journal-title-group>
            <issn pub-type="ppub">1334-4684</issn>
            <issn pub-type="epub">1334-4676</issn>
            <publisher>
                <publisher-name xml:lang="hr">Hrvatsko interdisciplinarno društvo</publisher-name>
                <publisher-name xml:lang="en">Croatian Interdisciplinary Society</publisher-name>
                <publisher-loc>Ivana Lučića 1, 10000 Zagreb
                    <email xlink:href="email@email.com">petra.cacic@indecs.eu</email>
                    <ext-link xlink:href="webadresaizdavaca">www.idd.com.hr</ext-link>
                </publisher-loc>
            </publisher>
        </journal-meta>
        <article-meta>
            <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.7906/indecs.18.4.4</article-id>
            <article-categories>
                <subj-group subj-group-type="heading" xml:lang="en">
                    <subject>Brief Report</subject>
                </subj-group>
            </article-categories>
            <title-group>
                <article-title xml:lang="en">Mitigating the Impact of Covid-19 in Conflict Zones</article-title>
            </title-group>
            <contrib-group>
                <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
                    <name>
                        <surname>Banerjee</surname>
                        <given-names>Soumya</given-names>
                    </name>
                    <xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1">*</xref>
                    <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">1</xref>
                </contrib>
                <aff id="aff1">
                    <label>1</label>
                    <institution xml:lang="en">University of Cambridge</institution>
                    <addr-line>Cambridge, United Kingdom</addr-line>
                </aff>
            </contrib-group>
            <author-notes>
                <corresp id="cor1"><label>*</label>Soumya Banerjee, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom<email xlink:href=" soumya.banerjee@maths.ox.ac.uk">soumya.banerjee@maths.ox.ac.uk</email>
                </corresp>
            </author-notes>
            <pub-date>
                <day>30</day>
                <month>11</month>
                <year>2020</year>
            </pub-date>
            <volume>18</volume>
            <issue>4</issue>
            <fpage>446</fpage>
            <lpage>448</lpage>
            <history>
               <date date-type="received">
                    <day>9</day>
                    <month>6</month>
                    <year>2020</year>
                </date>
                <date date-type="accepted">
                    <day>5</day>
                    <month>8</month>
                    <year>2020</year>
                </date>
            </history>
            <permissions>
                <license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
                    <license-p>CC BY 4.0</license-p>
                </license>
                <license license-type="open-access" xml:lang="hr">
                    <license-p>Puni tekst objavljenih radova besplatno se smije koristiti za osobne, edukacijske ili istraživačke svrhe uz poštovanje autorskih prava autora i izdavača. Korisnici radove smiju besplatno čitati, preuzimati, kopirati, distribuirati, tiskati, prerađivati ili koristiti ih na druge zakonite načine, uz ispravno navođenje izvornika i nekomercijalnu svrhu uporabe.</license-p>  
                </license>               
                <license license-type="open-access" xml:lang="en">
                    <license-p>The usage of full-text of the articles can be used exclusively for personal, research-related or educational purposes, with regard to the authors' and publishers' rights. The users are allowed to read, download, copy, distribute, print and transform or use them for any other lawful purpose as long as they attribute the source in an appropriate manner and for the non-commercial purpose of the usage.</license-p>
                </license>
            </permissions>
            <abstract xml:lang="en">
                <p>The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the whole world. The conventional narrative has focused on developed nations. However, developing nations and conflict zones have also been disproportionately affected. In this article, I want to bring attention to the effect of COVID-19 on conflict zones. I outline the key challenges and some remedial measures which can be taken.
                    Leaders of the world and international organisations like the WHO and the UN need to act rapidly to prevent greater loss of life in the world’s conflict zones. Peacekeepers, healthcare workers, aid organisations and local bodies need to work together to ensure that the effects of COVID-19 in conflict zones are mitigated.
                </p>
            </abstract>
            <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
                <kwd>COVID-19</kwd>
                <kwd>conflict zones</kwd>
                <kwd>developing nations</kwd>
            </kwd-group>  
        </article-meta>
    </front>
    <body>
        <sec sec-type="INTRODUCTION">
            <label>INTRODUCTION</label>
            <p>The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the whole world. The conventional narrative has
                focused on developed nations. However developing nations and conflict zones have
                also been disproportionately affected. In this article, I want to bring attention to
                the effect of COVID 19 on conflict zones.</p>
            <p>A recent article has highlighted the plight of refugees and migrants during the
                current COVID-19 crisis <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r1">[1]</xref>. Another recent study has looked at the effect of social
                isolation measures in containing the COVID-19 outbreak in China <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r2">[2]</xref>. The efforts of
                the authors are to be lauded. As developed nations are tackling COVID-19
                aggressively, developing nations and conflict hotspots should also receive attention
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r3">[3]</xref>. Social isolation measures now need to be urgently implemented in conflict zones
                like in Africa and in the Middle East.</p>
            <p>However there are considerable challenges that need to be overcome if social
                distancing measures are to be effective in impoverished nations that are also in
                conflict zones. I outline a few of these challenges below:</p>
            <p>1. There is a need for peacekeepers, aid workers and healthcare workers to have
                continued access to conflict zones. However this needs to be balanced with the
                unfortunate reality that they can also inadvertently spread the disease. Migration
                of peacekeepers, aid-workers and healthcare workers in conflict zones needs to be
                managed. A large influx of aid workers, some of whom may already be infected with
                COVID-19, may result in further spread of the disease. Aid workers need to take
                adequate precautions while attending to people in conflict zones.</p>
            <p>2. Public transport are usually overcrowded and in many developing nations this is
                the only mode of transport for a livelihood. Developing economies, especially those
                ravaged by conflict, can collapse under social isolation.</p>
            <p>3. Managing migration of refugees fleeing from conflict zones. As developed nations
                go into border shutdown, they should try to provide assistance to refugees fleeing
                conflict zones. This can be in the form of providing medical care in camps that also
                implement some form of social isolation.</p>
            <p>4. Trust deficit in doctors and healthcare workers. Doctors were attacked during the
                Ebola crisis highlighting a trust deficit <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r4">[4]</xref>. Many lessons have been learnt from
                the Ebola crisis in Africa. Community engagement has been a very effective measure
                in the fight against the Ebola virus epidemic in Africa <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r5">[5]</xref>. Healthcare workers will
                need to reach out to communities and build trust in order to effectively combat
                COVID-19.</p>
            <p>5. Existing diseases and epidemics. The Democratic Republic of Congo and other
                regions in Africa have been ravaged by a deadly measles epidemic <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r4">[4, </xref><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r6">6]</xref>. This
                highlights the need to also manage existing epidemics as scare resources will be
                diverted to combat COVID-19 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r6">[6,</xref> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r7">7]</xref>. Conflict zones cause armies to come into close
                contact with each other and cause displacement of people. They can also cause
                breakdowns in public health infrastructures and overcrowding and unsanitary
                conditions in refugee camps. All of these factors can lead to further spread of
                infectious diseases <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r8">[8]</xref>.</p>
            <p>In places like Syria, where the civil war has raged for many years, living conditions
                in refugee camps can enable faster spread of the virus. It can be very difficult to
                implement social distancing and isolation in refugee camps where thousands of
                displaced people have the barest of essentials. If possible, temporary ceasefires
                should be negotiated by peacekeeping organisations in conflict zones.</p>
            <p>Such simple and low-cost physical measures as face masks can also be effective <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r9">[9]</xref>
                (in combination with social distancing and other measures to improve hygiene).
                Adequate quantities of personal protective equipment should be provided to people
                living in conflict zones and those working in peacekeeping and aid
                organisations.</p>
            <p>Travel restrictions to and from countries in conflict zones (except for citizens of
                that country and essential personnel like people in healthcare professions,
                peackeeeping organisations and aid organisations) may also be helpful. These
                measures, although draconian, may be helpful since social distancing may be
                difficult to implement in conflict zones.</p>
            <p>Authoritarian governments in these conflict zones may also impede the rapid response
                and dissemination of public health information that is necessary in epidemics <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r10">[10]</xref>.
                Timely and accurate information dissemination to people living in conflict zones is
                critical.</p>
            <p>As developed nations tackle the spread of COVID-19, the leaders of the world and
                international organisations like the WHO and the UN need to act rapidly to prevent
                greater loss of life in the world’s conflict zones. Peacekeepers, healthcare
                workers, aid organisations and local bodies need to work together to ensure that the
                effects of COVID-19 in conflict zones are mitigated.</p>   
        </sec>
    </body>
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