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COMPARING THE BANK FAILURE PREDICTION PERFORMANCE OF NEURAL NETWORKS AND SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINES: THE TURKISH CASE

Fatih Ecer


Puni tekst: engleski pdf 480 Kb

str. 81-98

preuzimanja: 2.330

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Sažetak

Experience from the banking crises during the past
two decades suggest that advanced prediction
models are needed for helping prevent bank failures.
This paper compares the ability of artificial neural
networks and support vector machines in predicting
bank failures. Although artificial neural networks have
widely been applied complex problems in business,
the literature utilizing support vector machines is
relatively narrow and their capability for predicting
bank failures is not very familiar. In this paper, these
two intelligent techniques are applied to a dataset of
Turkish commercial banks. Empirical findings show
that although the prediction performance of the
two models can be considered as satisfactory, neural
networks show slightly better predictive ability than
support vector machines. In addition, different types
of error from each model also indicate that neural
network models are better predictors.

Ključne riječi

Current account; Balance of payments; ARDL; Bound Test

Hrčak ID:

109117

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/109117

Datum izdavanja:

1.10.2013.

Podaci na drugim jezicima: hrvatski

Posjeta: 3.138 *