hrcak mascot   Srce   HID

Izvorni znanstveni članak
https://doi.org/10.5552/drind.2017.1643

Simulation Model for Prediction of Timber Assortment Price Trends in Croatia - a Case Study of Brinje Forest Office

Karlo Beljan   ORCID icon orcid.org/0000-0002-8751-6303 ; University of Zagreb, Faculty of Forestry, Department of Forest Inventory and Management, Zagreb, Republic of Croatia
Stjepan Posavec ; University of Zagreb, Faculty of Forestry, Department of Forest Inventory and Management, Zagreb, Republic of Croatia
Silvije Orsag ; University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Department of Managerial Economics, Zagreb, Republic of Croatia
Krunoslav Teslak ; University of Zagreb, Faculty of Forestry, Department of Forest Inventory and Management, Zagreb, Republic of Croatia

Puni tekst: engleski, pdf (951 KB) str. 145-152 preuzimanja: 195* citiraj
APA 6th Edition
Beljan, K., Posavec, S., Orsag, S. i Teslak, K. (2017). Simulation Model for Prediction of Timber Assortment Price Trends in Croatia - a Case Study of Brinje Forest Office. Drvna industrija, 68 (2), 145-152. https://doi.org/10.5552/drind.2017.1643
MLA 8th Edition
Beljan, Karlo, et al. "Simulation Model for Prediction of Timber Assortment Price Trends in Croatia - a Case Study of Brinje Forest Office." Drvna industrija, vol. 68, br. 2, 2017, str. 145-152. https://doi.org/10.5552/drind.2017.1643. Citirano 19.08.2019.
Chicago 17th Edition
Beljan, Karlo, Stjepan Posavec, Silvije Orsag i Krunoslav Teslak. "Simulation Model for Prediction of Timber Assortment Price Trends in Croatia - a Case Study of Brinje Forest Office." Drvna industrija 68, br. 2 (2017): 145-152. https://doi.org/10.5552/drind.2017.1643
Harvard
Beljan, K., et al. (2017). 'Simulation Model for Prediction of Timber Assortment Price Trends in Croatia - a Case Study of Brinje Forest Office', Drvna industrija, 68(2), str. 145-152. https://doi.org/10.5552/drind.2017.1643
Vancouver
Beljan K, Posavec S, Orsag S, Teslak K. Simulation Model for Prediction of Timber Assortment Price Trends in Croatia - a Case Study of Brinje Forest Office. Drvna industrija [Internet]. 2017 [pristupljeno 19.08.2019.];68(2):145-152. https://doi.org/10.5552/drind.2017.1643
IEEE
K. Beljan, S. Posavec, S. Orsag i K. Teslak, "Simulation Model for Prediction of Timber Assortment Price Trends in Croatia - a Case Study of Brinje Forest Office", Drvna industrija, vol.68, br. 2, str. 145-152, 2017. [Online]. https://doi.org/10.5552/drind.2017.1643

Sažetak
This paper presents the results of a simulation model for the prediction of sale prices of common beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) and silver fir (Abies alba Mill.) assortments in the case study of Brinje Forest Office in Croatia. The survey covers the future time frame of 140 years (starting from the year 2013). The database of realized selling prices of assortments in the period from 1997 to 2013 was used in this research. On the basis of statistical analysis of realized selling prices in the past and using the Monte Carlo method, a simulation of future prices with 500, 100, 50 and 30 simulation repetitions was made. The result of this research is the methodological basis for future forest management economic planning in the case study of Brinje Forest Office, as well as in other case studies with similar forest management characteristics. Although, in this research, timber prices applicable in Croatia have been used, the same methods could be applied in other countries, too.

Ključne riječi
timber assortment price; price fluctuations; Monte Carlo simulation

Hrčak ID: 183642

URI
https://hrcak.srce.hr/183642

[hrvatski]

Posjeta: 344 *