Izvorni znanstveni članak
Prognostic trend model of passenger transport performance of the Croatian maritime traffic system
Marijan Rajsman
; Libertas Business College, Kennedyjev trg 6 b, HR-10000 Zagreb, CROATIA
Dragan Badanjak
; University of Zagreb, Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering, Vukeli}eva 4, HR-10000, CROATIA
Ivo Beroš
orcid.org/0000-0002-9467-8546
; VERN Polytechnic, Trg bana Josipa Jela~i}a 3/III, HR-10000 Zagreb, CROATIA
Sažetak
This research analyses the dynamics and the modelling trend of the development of passenger transport performance of the Croatian maritime traffic system. Passenger transport performance represents a transport value which is, regarding its characteristic, a qualitative transport demand indicator in public passenger traffic, and expressed by the realized passenger transport operation in public maritime passenger traffic. Adequate mathematical statistic analysis of passenger transport performance has been performed at the level of maritime traffic system,
forming in turn a mathematical prognostic trend model of the development dynamics of this traffic value. The prognostic trend model of the passenger transport performance is presented by a respective equation, with the calculation of the related determination coefficient as a measure of quality which determines the level of statistical significance of the description of the given data using the model equation. The law of development of the studied transport value during the considered time period is described by the computer calculated obtained model equation. During research, the scientific methods of mathematical statistics, modelling methods, and computer software
«Microsoft Excel» have been used.
Ključne riječi
dynamics; model; maritime traffic system; prognosis; passenger transport performance; development; trend
Hrčak ID:
187455
URI
Datum izdavanja:
27.1.2009.
Posjeta: 394 *