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Case Study: Analysis of the Puls Agency Exit Poll Methodology

Dragan BAGIĆ   ORCID icon orcid.org/0000-0002-0371-838X ; Faculty of Philosophy; Zagreb
Vesna LAMZA POSAVEC ; Institute of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar; Zagreb

Puni tekst: hrvatski, pdf (246 KB) str. 695-721 preuzimanja: 898* citiraj
APA 6th Edition
BAGIĆ, D. i LAMZA POSAVEC, V. (2008). STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS. Društvena istraživanja, 17 (4-5 (96-97)), 695-721. Preuzeto s https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432
MLA 8th Edition
BAGIĆ, Dragan i Vesna LAMZA POSAVEC. "STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS." Društvena istraživanja, vol. 17, br. 4-5 (96-97), 2008, str. 695-721. https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432. Citirano 21.07.2019.
Chicago 17th Edition
BAGIĆ, Dragan i Vesna LAMZA POSAVEC. "STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS." Društvena istraživanja 17, br. 4-5 (96-97) (2008): 695-721. https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432
Harvard
BAGIĆ, D., i LAMZA POSAVEC, V. (2008). 'STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS', Društvena istraživanja, 17(4-5 (96-97)), str. 695-721. Preuzeto s: https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432 (Datum pristupa: 21.07.2019.)
Vancouver
BAGIĆ D, LAMZA POSAVEC V. STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS. Društvena istraživanja [Internet]. 2008 [pristupljeno 21.07.2019.];17(4-5 (96-97)):695-721. Dostupno na: https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432
IEEE
D. BAGIĆ i V. LAMZA POSAVEC, "STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS", Društvena istraživanja, vol.17, br. 4-5 (96-97), str. 695-721, 2008. [Online]. Dostupno na: https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432. [Citirano: 21.07.2019.]

Sažetak
In an attempt to improve exit polls in Croatia, a detailed
analysis was carried out of the exit poll methodology used by
the agency Puls in the last few elections. The results of the
analysis showed that the main biases of the applied
methodological approaches were related to the coverage of
potential respondents, mostly due to survey non-response,
biased sampling procedures and, consequently to inefficient
statistical correction procedures aimed at reducing such
research biases. In addition to a more cautious interpretation
and public presentation of results, it would be best in the
future to improve the existing and develop some new
methodological solutions, especially predictive models of
election outcomes in which the exit polls data would be one
of its constituent elements.

Ključne riječi
exit polls; public opinion research; survey methodology

Hrčak ID: 29432

URI
https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432

[hrvatski] [njemački]

Posjeta: 1.955 *