Sentiment and Stock Characteristics: Comprehensive Study of Individual Investor Influence on Returns, Volatility, and Trading Volumes

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.2478/bsrj-2024-0018

Keywords:

investor sentiment, stock characteristics, behavioral finance, AAII sentiment index

Abstract

Background: Traditional asset pricing models face challenges from financial anomalies, prompting exploration through behavioural finance theory. This study analyses the nuanced relationship between individual investor sentiment and key stock market variables. Objectives: To assess the impact of individual investor sentiment on stock returns, volatilities, and trading volumes using the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) sentiment index. Methods/Approach: Using regression models, we examine the relationship between individual investor sentiment and various stock characteristics across 480 components of the Standard & Poor's 500 index. Results: We find a positive relationship between the AAII sentiment index and stock returns and a negative relationship with volatility and trading volume. Conclusions: Our study contributes to understanding the intricate role of individual investor sentiment in financial markets.

Author Biographies

Aleš Kresta, VSB – Technical University of Ostrava

Aleš Kresta serves as an Associate Professor in the Department of Finance at the Faculty of Economics, VSB – Technical University of Ostrava, where he earned his Ph.D. in Finance. His primary research interests encompass risk estimation, backtesting, portfolio optimization, financial time series modeling, and soft-computing within the realm of quantitative finance. Actively involved in numerous scientific projects, he can be contacted at ales.kresta@vsb.cz.

Jialei Xiong, VSB – Technical University of Ostrava

Jialei Xiong is a Ph.D. student in the Department of Finance at the Faculty of Economics, VSB – Technical University of Ostrava. Her research and dissertation focus on issues related to portfolio optimization, specifically emphasizing sentiment measures. The author can be contacted at jialei.xiong@vsb.cz.

Maidiya Bahate, VSB – Technical University of Ostrava

Maidiya Bahate, also a Ph.D. student in the Department of Finance at the Faculty of Economics, VSB – Technical University of Ostrava, directs her research toward biases in investment decision-making. The author can be contacted at maidiya.bahate@vsb.cz.

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Published

2024-10-03