Izvorni znanstveni članak
https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2017.1383175
Correlation and causation between the UN Human Development Index and national and personal wealth and resource exploitation
Janez Sušnik
orcid.org/0000-0002-8814-0168
; Integrated Water Systems and Governance Department, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, The Netherlands
Pieter van der Zaag
; Integrated Water Systems and Governance Department, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, The Netherlands
Sažetak
Human development is increasingly on global policy agendas, in
particular related to the Sustainable Development Goals. Here, the UN
Human Development Index is analysed for correlation and causation
with economic and resource parameters using novel quantitative
techniques. Global datasets at national resolution are used to explore
correlation and causation with the HDI. The whole HDI is not correlated
to national totals of wealth or resource use, but is strongly correlated
to personal wealth and resource use. The multi-spatial convergence
cross mapping method is adapted to shed light on causation in this
system. It is shown that the HDI is tightly linked to the economy and
to personal resource use. Analysis of the HDI sub-indices reveals
subtleties easily overlooked. For example, it is shown that access to
water and electricity strongly influence GNI. It is shown that simple
resource accumulation/exploitation is less important in determining
HDI growth than personal wealth and access to resources. That is,
equitable distribution is more effective than gross accumulation in
influencing the HDI. Strong feedback means that investments in water
treatment and distribution networks, for example, will have strong
effects on HDI change, a conclusion that may play an important role
in national developmental policy debate.
Ključne riječi
Development; Human Development Index; Sustainable Development Goals
Hrčak ID:
193207
URI
Datum izdavanja:
1.12.2017.
Posjeta: 2.232 *