Izvorni znanstveni članak
https://doi.org/10.21857/m16wjcp4v9
Demographic Processes in Croatia and Western European Countries – Differences, Similarities and Specificities
Alica Wertheimer-Baletić
; Hrvatska akademija znanosti i umjetnosti, Zagreb, Hrvatska
Sažetak
In this paper, main demographic processes and demographic balance in Croatia and in 18 Western European countries, mostly EU members, have been compared. The conclusion was that demographic processes in Croatia differed from the ones in the said Western European countries during previous two and a half decades. Among the analysed countries, Croatia was the only one with a permanent yearly decrease in the total population number during previous two and a half decades, while the analysed Western European countries have synchronously recorded a constant increase in the total population number. The analysis of the structure of the demographic balance of Croatia and the said countries shows – according to its basic components – a significantly different structure. In Croatia, above all, both summary components of the demographic balance are negative, so that the decrease in the total population number has been synchronously conditioned by natural population decrease and negative migration balance. However, this structure is different in the analysed Western European countries. It is evident that the increase in the total population number in these countries has been synchronously conditioned by positive migration balance and positive natural change, i.e. natural population increase. These aggregate and structural characteristics of the final result of demographic balance and its structures in Croatia and in the said countries have had an entirely different influence on future demographic movements and changes of the structures in Croatia and in the said countries: in Croatia, projections indicate that unfavourable demographic changes will become intensified in the future; while in Western European countries, they foresee a further increase in the total population number, in particular population capable for work, which is related to future positive structural demographic changes.
Ključne riječi
demographic balance; components of the demographic balance; components of the natural change; components of the migration change; total depopulation; natural depopulation
Hrčak ID:
193332
URI
Datum izdavanja:
6.5.2017.
Posjeta: 4.247 *