Preliminary communication
https://doi.org/10.7307/ptt.v31i6.3032
Injury Severity Prediction of Traffic Collision by Applying a Series of Neural Networks: The City of London Case Study
Meisam Siamidoudaran
orcid.org/0000-0003-4239-7918
; Eastern Mediterranean University, Cyprus & Voronezh State Technical University, Russia
Ersun İşçioğlu
; Eastern Mediterranean University, Cyprus
Abstract
This paper focuses on predicting injury severity of a driver or rider by applying multi-layer perceptron (MLP), support vector machine (SVM), and a hybrid MLP-SVM method. By correlating the injury severity results and the influences that support their creation, this study was able to determine the key influences affecting the injury severity. The result indicated that the vehicle type, vehicle manoeuvre, lack of necessary crossing facilities for cyclists, 1st point of impact, and junction actions had a greater effect on the likelihood of injury severity. Following this indication, by maximising the prediction accuracies, a comparison between the models was made through exerting the most sensitive predictors in order to evaluate the models’ performance against each other. The outcomes specified that the proposed hybrid model achieved a significant improvement in terms of prediction accuracy compared with other models.
Keywords
Hrčak ID:
231509
URI
Publication date:
14.11.2019.
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