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Impact of COVID-19 on the correlation between bitcoin trends and major stock market indexes

Andrea Vareško ; Istarsko veleučilište
Daniel Deković ; Istarsko veleučilište

Puni tekst: hrvatski pdf 568 Kb

str. 89-99

preuzimanja: 155



The negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic had a strong impact on the global economy and caused the economic crisis throughout the world, and did not bypass the financial markets either. Cryptocurrencies have become globally popular in recent times, and have assumed the same function of investing capital to increase value, like shares on stock exchange. Therefore, the objective of this paper was to research the impact the COVID-19 pandemic on the value of Bitcoin and the most influential global stock market indexes. The value trends and the correlation between the dependent variable of Bitcoin and the independent variables of the stock market indexes were analyzed using the methods of linear and multiple linear regression. Linear regression analysis pointed to a significant change in the trends of Bitcoin and stock market indexes caused by the COVID-19, which indicates a statistically significant correlation between the dependent and independent variables. Multiple regression analysis was used to test the strength of the correlation, i.e., the impact of independent variables on the dependent variable, thus confirming the correlation between the value of Bitcoin and the analyzed stock market indexes. In addition, it was determined with 95% confidence that the share in the total correlation of the dependent variable can be explained by the independent variables. The reliability of the multiple regression analysis model was tested using the ANOVA analysis of variance and the F-test, and it was determined that the model was significantly reliable and could be used for dependable prediction of the Bitcoin future trends. The results suggest that cryptocurrencies have practically assumed the speculative function of investments, like stocks, with the possibility of making quick profits, but also losses, especially in uncertain times.

Ključne riječi

Covid 19 pandemic, cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, stock market indexes, regression analysis

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Podaci na drugim jezicima: hrvatski

Posjeta: 549 *