Original scientific paper
https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2020.1718524
Is the status of gold threatened by Bitcoin?
Chi-Wei Su
Meng Qin
Ran Tao
Xiaoyan Zhang
Abstract
This paper evinces the ability of gold to avoid risks during periods
with great fluctuations in the Bitcoin market. We apply bootstrap
full- and subsample rolling-window Granger causality tests to
explore the causal relationship between Bitcoin price (BCP) and
gold price (GP). The empirical results show that an increase in
BCP can cause GP to decrease, indicating that the prosperity of
the Bitcoin market undermines the hedging ability of gold.
However, a decrease in BCP causes GP to increase, and it also
emphasizes that the ability of gold to avoid risks persists. Hence,
the status of gold will not be completely threatened by Bitcoin,
and they are complementary to each other instead of in competition.
In turn, both positive and negative influences of GP on BCP
suggest that fluctuations in BCP can be predicted through the
gold market. In situations of severe global uncertainty and complicated
investment environments, investors can benefit from
complementary markets to optimize their asset allocation.
Additionally, countries can grasp the trends in Bitcoin and gold
prices to prevent large fluctuations in both markets and to reduce
the uncertainty of the financial system.
Keywords
Bitcoin price; gold price; granger causality; time-varying
Hrčak ID:
254393
URI
Publication date:
9.2.2021.
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