Original scientific paper
https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2020.1780144
The impact of poverty cycles on economic research: evidence from econometric analysis
Yong Qin
Xinxin Wang
Zeshui Xu
Marinko Škare
Abstract
Poverty is a global problem, and fighting it is a historical task
faced by humanity. The outbreak of poverty crises has a certain
cyclicality, and the development of economic research may react
to poverty cycles. To validate this view, we take the United States
as an empirical example and establish a quantitative research
architecture based on the bibliometrics and econometrics. In the
first place, we conduct a bibliometric analysis of selected search
terms relevant to poverty cycles. After that, the time-series data
in the actual economy are collected for reflecting the trends and
fluctuations in economic activity affected by poverty cycles.
Meanwhile, with both bibliometric and economic data, a detrending
measure via the band-pass (BP) filter is performed to estimate
cycles. Finally, the Granger causality tests are implemented to
explore the interaction between poverty cycles and economic
research directly. As a supplement, this paper also provides a
quantitative evaluation analysis, namely impulse-response functions,
to investigate the influence of economic variables on bibliometric
ones. The final results show there indeed exists an impact
of poverty cycles in economic activity on relevant discussions in
the scientific literature.
Keywords
Poverty cycles; bibliometrics and econometrics; Granger causality tests; impulse-response functions; scientific literature
Hrčak ID:
300000
URI
Publication date:
31.12.2021.
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