Original scientific paper

https://doi.org/10.20901/pm.61.1.02

Spatial Analysis of Populist Radical Right in the 2020 ‎Croatia Parliamentary Elections – The Case of ‎the Homeland Movement‎

Mislav Stjepan Čagalj orcid.org/0009-0005-6221-4623 ; Zadar University

Abstract

In the last few years, we are witnessing a resurgence of populist radical right‎wing parties all over Europe as well as in Croatia. In the 2020 parliamentary ‎elections in Croatia, populist radical right parties achieved the best overall re‎sult since the Croatian independence. However, in Croatian scientific biblio‎graphy there are very few studies regarding that topic. The aim of the paper is ‎to examine the geography of support for the Homeland Movement, the strong‎est populist radical right party in Croatia. The research is based on the com‎parison between the results of four statistical methods (OLS, LISA, GWR, ‎MGWR). Results have shown limitations of global models and benefits of ‎employing multiscale and geographically weighted models. Analysis points ‎to COVID-19 vaccination rate followed by religiosity as the most vital factors ‎explaining the voting for the Homeland Movement.‎

Keywords

Electoral Geography; Radical Right; Geographically Weighted Regression; LISA; Croatia

Hrčak ID:

316588

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/316588

Publication date:

2.5.2024.

Article data in other languages: croatian

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