Application of Statistical Analysis for Risk Estimate of Railway Accidents and Traffic Incidents at Level Crossings

Autor(i)

  • Pamela Ercegovac Faculty of Technical Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Serbia
  • Gordan Stojić Faculty of Technical Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Serbia
  • Ilija Tanackov Faculty of Technical Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Serbia
  • Siniša Sremac Faculty of Technical Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Serbia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54820/entrenova-2022-0021

Ključne riječi:

level crossings, risk, railway accidents, traffic incidents, innovative education

Sažetak

Abstract This paper deals with applying statistical analysis of traffic safety to analyze the risks at level crossings. The social costs of railway accidents and traffic incidents at level crossings are very high and lead to a reduction in the levels of traffic safety. In addition to the consequences reflected in the loss of human lives, injuries, and disabilities, the stress and trauma of direct participants in traffic, accidents, and incidents at level crossings cause huge property and economic losses and significant primary and secondary traffic delays. The traffic safety analysis was conducted on 2128 level crossings, which are differently protected on the lines Joint Stock Company for Public Railway Infrastructure Management ”Serbian Railway Infrastructure” with statistical data of accidents in the Republic of Serbia from 2007 to 2017. The paper analyzes the obtained results using the methods of descriptive and inferential statistics to define measures of possible improvement of safety levels at the obtained critical level crossings. Also, a proposal was made for improving and raising the level of safety on level crossings through innovative education of direct participants in traffic.

Reference

Baysari M. T., McIntosh A. S., Wilson J. R. (2008), „Understanding the human factors contribution to railway accidents and incidents in Australia“, Accident Analysis and Prevention Vol.40 No. 5, pp. 1750-17.

Blagojević, A., Kasalica, S., Stević, Ž., Tričković, G., and Pavelkić, V. (2021), „Evaluation of Safety Degree at Railway Crossings in Order to Achieve Sustainable Traffic Management, A Novel Integrated Fuzzy MCDM Model“, Sustainability 2021, Vol.13, pp. 832.

Cedergren, A., Petersen, K. (2011), „Prerequisites for learning from accident investigations– a cross-country comparison of national accident investigation boards“, Safety Science, Vol.49 No.8/9, pp. 1238–1245.

Cedergren, A. (2013), „Implementing recommendations from accident investigations: A case study of inter-organisational challenges“, Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.53, pp.133–141.

Clark, H. E. Perrone, J. A., Isler, R. B. (2013), „An illusory size–speed bias and railway crossing collisions“, Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.55, pp. 226– 231.

Ćirović, G., Pamučar, D. (2013), „Decision support model for prioritizing railway level crossings for safety improvements: Application of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy system“, Expert Systems with Applications 40, pp. 2208–2223.

Edkins, G. D., Pollock, C. M. (1997), „The influence of sustained attention on Railway accidents“, Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol 29 No.4, pp. 533-539.

Ercegovac, P., Marković, M., Pavlović, N., Stojić, G., Tanackov, I., (2013), “Effect of Perceptual – motor charachteristic of executive railway staff on prediction railway accidents“, Conference: EURO – ZEL 2013 21st International Symposium 4th – 5th, June 2013, Žilina.

Ercegovac, P., Stojić, G., Kopić, M., Stević, Ž., Sinani, F., Tanackov, I. (2013), “Model for Risk

Calculation and Reliability Comparison of Level Crossings”. Entropy 2021, Vol.23 No.9, pp. 1230.

Evans, A. W., Verlander N. Q. (1996), “Estimating the consequences of accidents: The case of automatic train protection in Britain“, Accid. Anal. Prev. Vol. 28 No. 2, pp. 181-191.

Evans, W.A. (2011), „Fatal accidents at railway level crossings in Great Britain 1946 –2009“, Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.43, pp.1837–184.

Evans, A. W. (2013), „The economics of railway safety“, Research in Transportation Economics, Vol.43, pp. 137-147.

Grujić S., Popović M., Savić G., Pamučar D. (2018), „Safety assessment of railway crossings in Serbia using DEA method, XLV Symposium on Operational Research“, SYM-OP-IS 2018 Zlatibor, Serbia 16-19 September 2018.

Kasalica, S., Obradović M., Blagojević, A., Jeremić, D., Vuković, M. (2020), “Models for ranking railway crossings for safety improvement”, Operational Research in Engineering Sciences Theory Application, Vol. 3, pp. 85–100.

Keramati, A., Lu, P., Zhou, X., Tolliver, D. (2020), „A Simultaneous Safety Analysis of Crash Frequency and Severity for Highway-Rail Grade Crossings: The Competing Risks Method“, Journal of Advanced Transportation, Vol. 2020, pp. 13.

Lobb, B. Harré, N., Terry, N. (2003), „An evaluation of four types of railway pedestrian crossing safety intervention“, Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.35 No.4, pp. 487–494;

Pasha, J., Dulebenets, M.A., Abioye, O. F., Kavoosi, M., Moses, R., Sobanjo, J., Ozguven, E. E. (2020), „A Comprehensive Assessment of the Existing Accident and Hazard Prediction Models for the Highway-Rail Grade Crossings in the State of Florida“, Sustainability 2020, Vol.12 No.10, pp. 4291.

Read G.J., Salmon P.M., Lenné M.G., Stanton N.A. (2016), „Walking the line: understanding pedestrian behaviour and risk at rail level crossings with cognitive work analysis. Applied Ergonomics“, Vol.53, pp. 209–227.

Salmon, P.M., Read G.J., Stanton, N.A., Lenné, M.G. (2013), „The crash at Kerang: investigating systemic and psychological factors leading to unintentional non-compliance at rail level crossings“, Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.50, pp. 1278–1288.

Stanton, N.A., Walker, G.H. (2011), “Exploring the psychological factors involved in the Ladbroke Grove rail accident”, Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.43 No.3, pp.1117–1127.

Tey, L.S., Ferreira, L., Wallace, A. (2011), „Measuring driver responses at railway level crossings“, Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol.43 No.6, pp. 2134-2141.

Wilson, J.R. (2014), “Fundamentals of systems ergonomics/human factors”, Applied Ergonomics, Vol.45, pp. 5–13.

##submission.downloads##

Objavljeno

2022-11-10

Kako citirati

Ercegovac, P., Stojić, G. ., Tanackov, I., & Sremac, S. (2022). Application of Statistical Analysis for Risk Estimate of Railway Accidents and Traffic Incidents at Level Crossings. ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion, 8(1), 225–238. https://doi.org/10.54820/entrenova-2022-0021

Broj časopisa

Rubrika

Industrial Organization