Tehnički vjesnik, Vol. 20 No. 3, 2013.
Prethodno priopćenje
Development of bus transport system modeling in the City of Zagreb
Marijan Rajsman
orcid.org/0000-0001-7125-1817
; University of Zagreb, Faculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences, Vukelićeva 4, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia
Soleša Dragan
; University of Business Academy, Faculty of Economics and Engineering Management, Cvećarska 2, 21 000 Novi Sad, Serbia
Ivan Tolić
; City of Zagreb, Trg S. Radića 189, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia
Sažetak
The research objective of this paper is the study of the development dynamics of the public urban bus passenger transport system of the City of Zagreb, referring to a 16-year period of time from 1995 to 2010. The purpose of this work and the carried out analysis of the studied values that refer to passenger transport demand and supply, quality of transport service as well as the level of the life standard of the public urban transport system users, serves to create a valid basis for decision-making relating to the traffic process management at a strategic level and planning of further development of the urban passenger transport system. In accordance with the mentioned purpose the research objective has been set and it refers to the establishing of legality of the transport process using the methods of analysis and synthesis, modelling, and adequate mathematical and statistical methods. The objectives of this paper refer to establishing the statistical significance of prognostic trend models of the studied variables, connection between the development dynamics of the passenger transport demand and the development dynamics of individual traffic supply variables as well as the level of life standard of the urban passenger transport users, and the design of the model of single and multiple linear regression in order to determine the legality of the transport process. According to the results of this research it may be concluded that during the observed period there is no harmonisation of the development dynamics of the traffic values related to the transport supply and the quality of the transport service of the bus transport system with the existing development dynamics of the passenger transport demand.
Ključne riječi
bus transport system; development; modelling; public urban passenger transport
Hrčak ID:
104084
URI
Datum izdavanja:
15.6.2013.
Posjeta: 2.483 *