Izvorni znanstveni članak
https://doi.org/10.3325/cmj.2013.54.369
Pancreatic cancer mortality in Serbia from 1991-2010 – a joinpoint analysis
Milena Ilić
orcid.org/0000-0003-3229-4990
; Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac, Serbia
Hristina Vlajinac
; Institute of Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia
Jelena Marinković
; Institute of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia
Nikola Kocev
; Institute of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia
Sažetak
Aim To analyze the trends of pancreatic cancer mortality
in Serbia.
Methods The study covered the population of Serbia in
the period 1991 to 2010. Mortality trends were assessed by
the joinpoint regression analysis by age and sex.
Results Age-standardized mortality rates ranged from
5.93 to 8.57 per 100 000 in men and from 3.51 to 5.79 per
100 000 in women. Pancreatic cancer mortality in all age
groups was higher among men than among women. It
was continuously increasing since 1991 by 1.6% (95% confidence
interval [CI] 1.1 to 2.0) yearly in men and by 2.2%
(95% CI 1.7 to 2.7) yearly in women. Changes in mortality
were not significant in younger age groups for both sexes.
In older men (≥55 years), mortality was increasing, although
in age groups 70-74 and 80-84 the increase was
not significant. In 65-69 years old men, the increase in
mortality was significant only in the period 2004 to 2010.
In ≥50 years old women, mortality significantly increased
from 1991 onward. In 75-79 years old women, a non-significant
decrease in the period 1991 to 2000 was followed by
a significant increase from 2000 to 2010.
Conclusion Serbia is one of the countries with the highest
pancreatic cancer mortality in the world, with increasing
mortality trend in both sexes and in most age groups
Ključne riječi
Hrčak ID:
108676
URI
Datum izdavanja:
15.8.2013.
Posjeta: 946 *