Izvorni znanstveni članak
Total and natural population increase in Croatia
Alica Wertheimer-Baletić
Jakov Gelo
Sažetak
In the first part of the article the
authors present and explain data
about population increase in
Croatia in the period 1857—1981.
In that 124-year period the
population went through a process
of demographic transition, passing
through all the phases of that
process up to the beginning of the
post-transitional stage. The period
is marked by great variations in
rates of change, primarily because
of wars, economic crises and
epidemics.
In the postwar period (1948—1981)
the population in Croatia grew
more slowly than in other republics
and provinces of Yugoslavia: it
increased by 21.7% (in Yugoslavia
by 41.6%) and the participation of
Croatia’s population in the total
population of Yugoslavia decreased
from 23.9% to 20.5%.
There are significant regional
differences in population
change. Most of the population of
Croatia is concentrated in regions
(communities of communes) with
large cities (Zagreb, Split, Osijek,
Rijeka), and there it is increasing
constantly and significantly. There
is a slower population increase in
the Sisak community of communes
and the Varaždin community of
communes has the smallest increase
of all. In this period the Bjelovar,
Gospić and Karlovac communities
of communes and the outlying
communes of Zagreb went through
a population decrease.
The analysis of population
change ends with an
analysis of commune-level data
which shows that the postwar
increase of the total population in
Croatia resulted from a population
increase in a small number of
communes with large urban and
industrial centres, and that the
depopulation process is gaining
space. is an increasing
number of inhabitants who live
in settlements of over 50,000
inhabitants.
Since total population increase is
basically determined by natural
increase, the authors
turned their attention to this
factor, too. The two basic features
of regional natural increase
are that population increase
in Croatia resulted from
a population increase
(natural, as well) in a smaller
number of communes with large
urban-industrial settlements, and
that the process of total population
decrease (natural, as well) is
imanent to less developed areas.
Regionally, in 1986 five communities
of communes had a natural
population increase. The remaining
five communities of communes are
being naturally depopulated, i.e.
their mortality rate exceeds their
birth rate ,and the birth rate is
below replacement level.
The authors then »descend« to
commune level. Natural population
decrease has been recorded in 59
communes out of 113, and there are
others that also show similar
tendencies.
The authors conclude the article
by giving the basic determinants
of the population policy in Croatia.
They consider that it is essentila to
integrate the policy of population
reproduction with the migration
policy and incorporate them into
the long-term approach to
socio-economic development.
Ključne riječi
Hrčak ID:
119716
URI
Datum izdavanja:
8.6.1990.
Posjeta: 1.915 *