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The Migration Population Balance of Rural Settlements in the SR of Croatia
Ivo Nejašmić
; Institut za migracije i narodnosti, Zagreb, Hrvatska
Sažetak
Using vital-statistical method the author analyses the net migration balance of the population of rural settlements in the SR of Croatia in the period 1961–1981. During this time the migration balance was negative, amounting to about 500,000 people. By approximating the in-migration flow to about 40,000, a total volume of out-migration of about 540,000, or 25.6%, of the rural population in 1961, was recei¬ved in the period examined. However, although rural exodus was common to the entire territory, there were significant differences among spatial units. Of a total of 104 communes in the SR of Croatia, only four had a positive migration balance in their rural parts, while in the others negative values ranged from 2.8% to 62.4% of the rural population in 1961. General factors (in the domain of the developmental concept) had a crucial influence on this process, yet it was more or less modified by numerous specific factors. It was confirmed that the level of economic development had a certain influence on the rural exodus, namely that general factors had a greater effect in economically less developed areas. Long-term and strong depopulation brought about a very unfavourable general demographic trend in rural areas. Fifty nine communes (i.e. their rural areas) had depopulation trends, and even 40 (out of a total of 104) were dying out in the demographic sense. Expansion, or regeneration by way of in-migration, was negligible. It occurred only in four communes, and at that in specific conditions. The observed exodus trend still continues, although probably with a somewhat lesser intensity than in the analysed period of time. The author estimates that rural settlements in the SR of Croatia shall have a net negative migration balance of about 120,000 people in the third inter-census decade (1981–1991).
Ključne riječi
migration balance; rural settlement; emigration; depopulation; Croatia
Hrčak ID:
128329
URI
Datum izdavanja:
31.10.1988.
Posjeta: 1.829 *