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FUTURE EXPECTANCIES:BETWEEN THE CATASTROPHISM AND COSMIC EXPANSION
Ivan Cifrić
; Filozofski fakultet, Zagreb
Sažetak
The article is discussing the perception of the future. The sociological research has been made in 1992, on a representative sample (N=547) of the Zagreb and Rijeka University students population. An instrument was constructed (using Likert-type scale) consisting of 31 items concerning anthropogenous and social changes, as well as the problems of environmental catastrophes and technological development.
Factor analysis has shown that the future is being perceived in several dimensions: "dichotomous totalitarian society of highly developed technologies and new hominides", "catastrophic future", "status quo in future" and "cosmic future". Two orientations appear to be present: optimistic one radicalizing the positive potentials of the present and foreseeing a completely new civilisation in future, then the pessimistic one radicalizing negative sides of the present and expecting catastrophism in future.
Comparison with the results of the similar research in 1988 is showing that in 1992 the expectations of social differentiation and expansion into space have increased; the expecting of the global catastrophes has decreased, as well as belief in private ownership vanishing, and on-coming of welfare and peace. The changes have occurred mostly under the influence of situational factors in the society.
Ključne riječi
future; catastrophism; new civilisation; students
Hrčak ID:
139392
URI
Datum izdavanja:
15.1.1994.
Posjeta: 2.006 *