Pregledni rad
A potential risk of fire on open space in the Republic of Croatia
Nera Bakšić
; Šumarski fakultet Sveučilišta u Zagrebu, Zagreb, Hrvatska
Marko Vučetić
; Državni hidrometeorološki zavod, Zagreb, Hrvatska
Željko Španjol
; Šumarski fakultet Sveučilišta u Zagrebu, Zagreb, Hrvatska
Sažetak
The past few decades in the Mediterranean, due to the increase of temperature extremes and increased frequency of heat waves with maximum daily air temperature above 30 ° C, there is a general trend of increasing fire-affected areas, the frequency of fire, their intensity and severity. In Croatia, this trend is also evident, especially in the field of rubble. The paper describes the spatial distribution of the areas at risk of heat stress on the Croatian territory which confirms that it was the Adriatic region the most vulnerable with respect to climate change in our country. An additional problem is the fact that the area of fire risk in dry and hot period extending from the Adriatic coast to the Croatian inland. Analysis of climate indicators presented in the paper indicates that in the future we can expect an increasing risk of fire of open space in the Republic of Croatia in terms of spatial and seasonal endanger. According to various climate scenarios in Europe are expected to be more intense, more frequent and longer-lasting heat waves in the second half of the 21st century and will certainly the greatest challenge of sustainable management of forest ecosystems in the Mediterranean will be the fight against forest fires.
Ključne riječi
forest fires; open area; Croatia
Hrčak ID:
150849
URI
Datum izdavanja:
15.12.2015.
Posjeta: 2.499 *