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Fatal Alcoholic Poisonings in Russia and Belarus: a Comparative Analysis of Trends

Yury E. Razvodosky ; Medicinski fakultet Grodno, Grodno, Bjelorusija


Puni tekst: engleski pdf 419 Kb

str. 137-146

preuzimanja: 398

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Sažetak

The fatal alcohol poisoning rate is assumed to be the indicator of acute consequence of drinking. Although alcohol poisoning mortality rates was comparatively high in the former Soviet Republics Russia
and Belarus, even during the later-Soviet period, the alarming rise that has occurred during the post-Soviet period means that these countries have one of the highest alcohol poisoning mortality rates in the world.
Aims: To estimate the aggregate level effect of alcohol on the alcohol poisoning mortality rates in Russia and Belarus. Method: Trends in alcohol poisoning mortality rates and alcohol sales per capita from 1970 to 2013 in Russia and Belarus were analyzed employing an ARIMA analysis. Results: Alcohol sales is a statistically significant
associated with alcohol poisoning mortality rates in both countries, implying that a 1-l increase in per capita alcohol sales is associated with an increase in the alcohol poisoning mortality rates of 9.0% in Russia and of 8.1% in Belarus. Conclusion: This is the first comparative time-series analysis of alcohol sales and alcohol poisoning mortality rates in Russia and Belarus, which highlighted close temporal association between alcohol poisoning mortality rates and population drinking in both countries.

Ključne riječi

alcohol poisoning mortality rates, ARIMA time series analysis, Russia, Belarus, 1970-2013

Hrčak ID:

151665

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/151665

Posjeta: 985 *