Preliminary communication
https://doi.org/10.7225/toms.v11.n02.008
Prediction of Emergency Preparedness Level On-Board Ships Using Discrete Event Simulation: the Case of Firefighting Drill
Burcu Ozturk Tac
; Istanbul Technical University, Graduate School of Science, Engineering and Technology, Istanbul, Türkiye
Metin Celik
; Istanbul Technical University, Department of Basic Science, Istanbul, Türkiye
Abstract
This paper proposes a hybrid approach, including Fuzzy Dematel (FD) integrated with Discrete Event Simulation (DES), to predict emergency preparedness levels on-board ships. The FD used critical factors that affect emergency preparedness to conduct a DES based on real firefighting drill records collected from 45 merchant ships. The simulation results showed the average duration of on-board drills in ideal conditions (27.47 min.), in the worst-case scenario (51.49 min.), for Ship A (29.99 min.), and Ship B (28.12 min.). Based on the findings, recovery actions linked to the factors have been recommended to promote on-board implementation. The proposed model is of great importance to shore-based managers, allowing them to monitor the emergency preparedness level of the fleet continuously, even during pandemics. Further studies are planned to develop a remote monitoring system that would digitalize the existing response procedures in emergency situations.
Keywords
Ship emergency preparedness, Firefighting drill, Discrete event simulation, Fuzzy DEMATEL
Hrčak ID:
303210
URI
Publication date:
21.10.2022.
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