Pregledni rad

https://doi.org/10.37458/ssj.7.1.2

STRATEGIC UNCERTAINTY AND NORMATIVE CONTESTATION IN THE INDO-PACIFIC: RETHINKING SECURITY BEYOND ALLIANCE-CENTERED MODELS

Baha' Aldeen Raed Suliman Almomani ; Institute for National and International Security (INIS)

Sažetak

This study examines how military-centered frameworks alone cannot fully capture the security of the Indo-Pacific; as a result, perception, strategic narratives, and ethical considerations are incorporated as the primary factors that determine regional order. The study examines how global power rivalry creates strategic and interpretive security dilemmas, particularly for Southeast Asian and East Asian states seeking to balance deterrence, alignment, and strategic autonomy, through the lens of the Indo-Pacific as a contested security area. To critically examine contemporary regional security practices and scholarship, the study, grounded in qualitative and theory-driven methods, integrates perspectives from defensive realism, ontological security theory, and norm localization. The study's findings indicate that instability in the Indo-Pacific is sustained not only by material military competition but also by strategic ambiguity, hybrid forms of rivalry, and localized interpretations of threat and legitimacy. The middle powers play a critical role through strategies that combine autonomy, cooperation, and deterrence.Furthermore, it is suggested that the region's natural development occurs gradually through local adaptation processes as opposed to the implementation of uniform or externally imposed standards, which explains the longevity of adaptable and consensus-oriented institutional arrangements. The study concludes that institutional innovation, communication, and ethical restraint should be used in conjunction with traditional deterrence techniques to maintain stability in the Indo-Pacific. This is because ignoring the material or ideational aspects of security will prolong the long-term instability problem in one of the world's most strategically important areas.

Ključne riječi

Indo-Pacific security; security dilemmas; strategic narratives; middle powers; ontological security; norm localization; strategic autonomy

Hrčak ID:

348057

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/348057

Datum izdavanja:

25.4.2026.

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