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Original scientific paper

https://doi.org/10.13044/j.sdnarema.d1.0746

Meteorological Drought Assessment Analysis for Balkhab Sub–River Basin, Afghanistan

Homayoun Khoshnod ; Polytechnic University of Kabul, Kabul, Afghanistan
Azim Jan Zahid ; Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul, South Korea
Naqibullah Rahmani ; National Institute of Technology Warangal, Hanamkonda, Telangana, India
Hasibullah Rahimi ; Kabul University, Kabul, Afghanistan


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Abstract

This study investigates meteorological drought patterns in the Balkhab Sub River Basin (BSRB) from Oct-1981 to Sep-2024 using satellite-based Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) precipitation data and four drought indices: Normal-SPI, Log-SPI, SPI-12, and PNPI. Data from eight selected points across the basin were analyzed to evaluate drought severity, identify critical drought years, and assess spatial-temporal drought distribution. The CHIRPS data showed strong correlation with ground observations (R² ≈ 0.91), confirming its reliability. The SPI-12 index effectively captured long-term droughts, while PNPI was sensitive to short-term variability. All indices identified 2001 as an extreme drought year across all points. Other significant drought years included 1985, 1986, 2022, and 2023. Spatial analysis indicated higher drought frequency in points R1, R2, R3, and R8. The study concludes that CHIRPS data, combined with multiple indices, offer a robust approach for drought monitoring in data-scarce regions, supporting future water resource planning and climate resilience strategies in BSRB.

Keywords

Balkhab Sub River Basin; Drought indices; CHIRPS precipitation; SPI; PNPI.

Hrčak ID:

348153

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/348153

Publication date:

22.7.2026.

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