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Preliminary communication

https://doi.org/10.18045/zbefri.2018.1.355

Structural dividends and economic growth in China

Wang Zhenhua ; College of Economics and Management, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang, China
Sun Xuetao ; College of Economics and Management, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang, China
Zhang Guangsheng ; College of Business, Liaoning University, Shenyang, China


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Abstract

This study aims at analyzing the impact of industrial structure upgrading on the economic growth of China. Based on panel data of 283 cities of China from 2001 to 2014, this paper uses the spatial panel SARAR to analyze the influence of industrial structure upgrading on the economic growth of China’s prefecture-level cities. The results show that China’s urban economic growth has significant spatial correlation: industrial structure upgrading is the prime reason for the economic growth and the diJerences in the urban economy in China, and the impact of structural dividend on economic growth is positive. However, with the further upgrading of the industrial structure, the structural dividend will become negative,
i.e. there is a significant inverted “U” relationship between the industrial structure and economic growth. The study provides new empirical evidence for the new classical economic growth theory and a new research experience for a follow-up study.

Keywords

industrial structure upgrading; structural dividends; SARAR model; China

Hrčak ID:

202041

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/202041

Publication date:

26.6.2018.

Article data in other languages: croatian

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