Professional paper
From Red Wave to Red Puddle: Why GOP Success in Midterms Failed to Materialize
Ante Zrile
; Faculty of Political Science, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia
Abstract
In this paper, the author analyzes the results of the 2022 midterms and tries to present which factors contributed to this surprising outcome. Arguably, former President Donald Trump’s influence affected key races which Republicans needed for the “Red Wave” to materialize. Some analysts, as well as most GOP candidates, underestimated the importance of the abortion issue to certain voters. Reapportionment and redistricting of House districts after the 2020 census played a role as well. Several states experienced heavy gerrymandering, which eliminated toss-up districts in favor of Democrats.
Keywords
midterms; abortion; ranked-choice voting; incumbent; Democrats; Republicans
Hrčak ID:
287319
URI
Publication date:
1.12.2022.
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