Police and Security, Vol. 20 No. 3, 2011.
Professional paper
Relation Between Firearms Availability and the Homicide Rate in the Countries from the Territory of Former Yugoslavia
Dean Savić
; Police academy
Ivana Glavina
; Police academy
Jure Tadić
; Police academy
Abstract
In order to determine the relation between the number of homicides and the firearms availability it was necessary to analyze the statistical data, and results of conducted researches in countries from territory of the former Yugoslavia. Comparing the parameters it was concluded that states with higher rates of firearms availability have higher homicide rates. This relation is not linear, but it is possible to describe and predict it by nonlinear mathematical function in all four analysis with success of 67% (p 0.05) in the case of relation between registered firearms and homicides, 80% (p 0.05 ) in the case of relation between estimation of firearms availability based on surveys and homicides, 93% (p 0.05) in the case of relation between the firearms availability estimation based on the comprehensive assessments and homicides, and 100% (p 0.05) in the case of relations between the corrected evaluations of firearms availability and homicides. For the purpose of getting more exact determination of the relation between the homicide rate and firearm availability, further researches are required. However, these results suggest the needs for the strict control of firearms and reducing its quantity in the possession of citizens.
Keywords
firearm; homicide; the former SFR of Yugoslavia; Slovenia; Croatia; Bosnia and Herzegovina; Serbia; Kosovo; Montenegro; Macedonia
Hrčak ID:
78954
URI
Publication date:
17.1.2012.
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