Technical gazette, Vol. 22 No. 5, 2015.
Original scientific paper
https://doi.org/10.17559/TV-20140821082956
Urban growth simulation using SLEUTH in Afyonkarahisar (Turkey)
Mustafa Mutlu Uysal
; The Ministry of Forest and Water Affairs, 3th Reginal Office, Balıkesir, Turkey
Murat Uysal
orcid.org/0000-0001-5202-4387
; Afyon Kocatepe University, Faculty of Engineering, Geomatics Engineering, ANS Campus TR-03200, Afyonkarahisar, Turkey
Abstract
In this study, the change in city growth of Afyonkarahisar in the adjacent area in the future was estimated using the SLEUTH model. The main objective of this study is to show the simulation of the change in the urban growth of Afyonkarahisar until 2030 with the SLEUTH model, a cellular automata model. For this purpose, two different growth scenarios have been developed. As a result of the study, with the current growth scenario, urban development from 2011 to 2030 will increase by 3115 hectares, and it is seen that 2300 hectares of pasture areas will be destroyed with this increase. It is found that 2000 ha of natural areas can be protected from urbanization and the wrong land use of the city's natural resources having social and economic importance can be avoided with the controlled growth scenario.
Keywords
remote sensing; simulation; SLEUT; urban modelling
Hrčak ID:
147295
URI
Publication date:
22.10.2015.
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