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Original scientific paper

The Risk Evaluation Expert System of World EXPO 1996

Ivan Futo ; Applied Logic Laboratory, Budapest, Hungary
Andras Gabor ; Budapest University of Economic Sciences, Budapest, Hungary
Jozsef Temesi ; Budapest University of Economic Sciences, Budapest, Hungary

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page 57-68

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In this paper an expert system is presented for the evaluation of potential risk factors of World Exposition organised in the year 1996 in Budapest.

The system was developed under a contract with the World Expo Office in Budapest during 1991. The experts engaged by the Expo Office defined eight different categories of potential risk factors containing about 180 concrete risk elements. As traditional decision support approaches and risk analysis methods were not applicable, an expert system was built to handle the problem in its complexity. A special method was also developed to score different alternatives by the use of demons.


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