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Preliminary communication

Prognostic modeling of total steel production and according to production technology in Poland

B. Gajdzik ; The Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Materials Science and Metallurgy, Katowice, Poland

Full text: english pdf 284 Kb

page 241-244

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The publication presents the prognostic modeling of steel production in Poland by 2020. Based on the general framework predicting, an attempt was made to adjust the model to empirical data, which were related to the size of steel production in Poland. Two prognostic approaches were used. The first approach included determination of prognoses for total steel production on the basis of empirical data for the 1990-2014 period. The second approach used empirical data for the volume of steel production according to production technologies for the 2000-2015 period. Prognoses until 2020 were determined in both cases. Thus obtained prognoses were related to changes observed on the global steel market.


steel production; basic oxygen furnace (BOF); electric arc furnace (EAF); prognostic model; Polish steel industry

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