INDECS, Vol. 5 No. 2, 2007.
Preliminary communication
Unraveling the unsustainability spiral in sub-saharan Africa: an agent based modelling approach
Guido van Hofwegen
Gertjan A. Becx
Joep A. van den Broek
Niek B.J. C. Koning
Abstract
Sub-Saharan Africa is trapped in a complex unsustainability spiral with demographic, biophysical, technical and socio-political dimensions. Unravelling the spiral is vital to perceive which policy actions are needed to reverse it and initiate sustainable pro-poor growth. The article presents an evolutionary, multi-agent modelling framework that marries a socio-ecological approach to a world system perspective and takes agriculture as the engine for sustainable development in sub-Saharan Africa. A number of possibilities for empirical validation are proposed.
Keywords
multi-agent systems; development; poverty trap; degradation; social capital; sub-Saharan Africa
Hrčak ID:
17192
URI
Publication date:
29.10.2007.
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