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Strategos : Scientific Journal of the Dr. Franjo Tuđman Defense and Security University and Dr. Franjo Tuđman Croatian Defense Academy, Vol. 1 No. 1, 2017.

Professional paper

Scenarios and Capability Planning: Creation of Scenarios as a Tool for Predicting the Future Operating Environment

Libor Frank orcid id orcid.org/0000-0002-2905-2563 ; Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies, University of Defence Brno, Czech Republic
Josef Procházka ; Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies, University of Defence Brno, Czech Republic

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Abstract

The goal of the present paper is to introduce the audience to selected methods (especially future scenario-based method) and their usability in predicting future developments of a security and operating environment. Furthermore, this paper highlights the place of these methods in the process of capability planning and creation of a security and defence policy of the state. This paper explores the possibilities, practical applications,
risks and limitations of using the selected methods in predicting the future development of a security and operating environment.

Keywords

Security environment; method; scenario; capability planning

Hrčak ID:

183564

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/183564

Publication date:

15.3.2017.

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