Original scientific paper

VOLATILITIES AND EQUITY MARKET RETURNS IN SELECTED CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST EUROPEAN COUNTRIES

Lidija Dedi
Dijana Škorjanec

Abstract

This paper investigates co-movements of equity returns, volatility persistence and spillovers in selected Central and Southeast European countries, the countries of former Yugoslavia: Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Slovenia during the period of 2011-2017. The Multivariate Auto Regressive Moving Average (MARMA) and the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models are utilized to daily returns of the stock indices. The results of the analysis provide the evidence of signifi cant co-movements of returns and volatility spillovers among selected markets. The fi ndings indicate that in Slovenian, Macedonian and Serbian markets volatility reacts intensely to market movements, whereby volatilities persist very long in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and in Montenegro. From the viewpoint of volatility transmission the fi ndings also indicate enough elements for closer and intense collaboration between selected markets.

Keywords

co-movements of returns; stock indices; volatility persistence; volatility spillovers; GARCH

Hrčak ID:

187555

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/187555

Publication date:

12.10.2017.

Article data in other languages: croatian

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