Original scientific paper
Implemenation of Chaos Theory and Compexity to Public Opinion Auditing during 2005 Presidental Electoral Campign in Croatia
Aleksandar Halmi
Abstract
Several socio-political phenomena by nature are not static. Electoral campaigns, presidential elections, public opinion forming, uncontrolled spreading of the international terrorism and similar processes are basically dynamic. However, many researchers study these phenomena using the traditional research methods
such as polling, regression models, retrospective and transversal studies etc. Unfortunately, the development of methods for analyzing changes was a great deal slower than the development of other methods for data analyzing and testing statistical hypotheses. In the article, the author is trying to implement new methods in analyzing the alleged dynamic changes, primarily those which are in relation with the public opinion auditing during the presidential electoral campaign.
Keywords
graphic and spectral analysis; correlation integral; Ljapunovljev’s exponents; presidential elections; public opinion; electoral studies
Hrčak ID:
22954
URI
Publication date:
20.6.2006.
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