Original scientific paper
https://doi.org/10.7307/ptt.v33i4.3688
Correlation Between Freight Transport Industry and Economic Growth – Panel Analysis of CEE Countries
Siniša Vilke
; University of Rijeka, Faculty of Maritime Studies
Davor Mance
; University of Rijeka, Faculty of Maritime Studies
Borna Debelić
; University of Rijeka, Faculty of Maritime Studies
Marinko Maslarić
; University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences
Abstract
The paper tests for statistical association between employment and value added of freight transport industry and its component activities against overall economy in a ten-year panel ranging from 2008 to 2017 of the thirteen newest European Union member countries. In this paper, the nature of correlation between economic growth as the independent variable and freight transport industry as a dependent variable is examined. To achieve stationarity, and to lose autocorrelation and the idiosyncratic effects, the variables are first differenced. The results of the “Granger causality” tests show the null hypothesis of no-causation may be rejected for most conjectures with high F-Statistics as well as high statistical significance. The results of the Panel EGLS cross-section fixed effects do not reject the results gained by the Granger test, and the same may be said for the Panel Generalised Method of Moments First Differences test. The result of the Arellano-Bond test shows no serial correlation in the residuals. It has been concluded that changes in overall economy (value added and employment) have a significant and measurably strong impact on freight transportation and warehousing sector. This conclusion is useful in assessing future impacts on freight transport industry, especially as a consequence of contingent events.
Keywords
freight transport industry; logistics; economic growth; panel analysis; relationship
Hrčak ID:
270907
URI
Publication date:
6.8.2021.
Visits: 904 *