Original scientific paper

https://doi.org/10.53745/bs.91.4.7

Social Dialogue 2030. A Study of the Future of Social Dialogue in Croatia by Using the Delphi-method

Danijel Baturina orcid.org/0000-0002-9063-305X ; Faculty of Law Univerity of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia
Gojko Bežovan orcid.org/0000-0002-7543-6875 ; Faculty of Law Univerity of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia
Jelena Matančević orcid.org/0000-0003-2807-133X ; Faculty of Law Univerity of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia

Abstract

The aim of this article is to discuss potential directions for the development of social dialogue in Croatia. The article presents the results of a study carried out towards the end of 2019 with the aim of gaining insight into the perspectives of social dialogue in circumstances of transformed industrial relations in Croatia in 2030. The study was carried out by using the Delphi method and it involved eight experts, representatives of the key participants in social dialogue: government, unions, and employers, and researchers from the area of industrial relations. Results are discussed in the context of expected economic, social, and political factors which will exert influence on changes in social dialogue until 2030. A few main research insights are emphasized. The quality of and readiness for social dialogue in Croatia is fairly low, the institutional frame of industrial relations has been weakened, and no major improvements are expected until 2030. Unions will face the challenge of remaining relevant in changed socio-economic circumstances, such as the lack of workforce, changes in patterns of employment, and technological changes. It is expected that trends of decentralization of negotiations, i.e., strengthening of bipartite social dialogue on the level of companies, will continue. The article emphasizes the need for innovative activity of unions and for developing new strategies for attracting younger members.

Keywords

social dialogue; industrial relations; collective negotiations; delphi-method; Croatia

Hrčak ID:

275032

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/275032

Publication date:

15.3.2022.

Article data in other languages: croatian

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