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Original scientific paper

https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2020.1805347

Modelling EU agriculture’s regional disparities under the national accounting system’s approach. The impact of the new economic and environmental challenges

Romeo Victor Ionescu
Monica Laura Zlati
Valentin Marian Antohi
Silvius Stanciu


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Abstract

The performance farming is a new bet for the EU in the context
of the present’s major climate and economic challenges. This
paper aims at defining a model of agricultural competitiveness
for the EU and its application for the evaluation of regional agricultural performance, in relation to the global competitiveness
index, using the theory of catastrophes. The objectives of the analysis are: to evaluate the current growth theories in agriculture, to
conceptualize a new model of agricultural performance improvement (RAP), to test the model and to obtain the relevant working
tools after its application. The used methods are: the study of the
general models of growth in agriculture; the dynamic analysis of
the Eurostat data on agricultural performance and Member
States’ data published in the National Accounts System; the conceptualization of the RAP (Regional Agricultural Performance)
growth model; the statistical testing of the model, its connectivity
with global competitiveness indexes and climate change; the
hypotheses’ building in order to eliminate the climate transformations influences according to the catastrophe theorem’s results;
and providing a viable and sustainable tool for the national strategy for agriculture’s forecasting changes to the Member States.
The novelty element brought by the present proposed model is
that of quantification in a broader and special way of the impact
of environmental changes on the performing agricultural output
in terms of National Accounting System.

Keywords

Regional agriculture performance; National Accounting System for Agriculture; optimization area; catastrophic theory

Hrčak ID:

301195

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/301195

Publication date:

31.12.2021.

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