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Original scientific paper

https://doi.org/10.20901/ms.16.32.4

FRAGMENTATION OF DIGITAL PLATFORMS IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL DYNAMICS: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS OF GLOBAL TRENDS

Marija Gombar orcid id orcid.org/0009-0000-8621-4007 ; General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Croatia


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Abstract

Political decisions made under geopolitical conditions significantly influence global digital‎ ecosystems, as illustrated by the U.S. ban on TikTok and Germany’s withdrawal of advertising from the‎ platform X (formerly Twitter). This study identifies and predicts patterns of digital platform fragmentation ‎emerging from such politically driven interventions. By integrating social network analysis, sentiment ‎analysis, and predictive modelling, the research connects regulatory behaviour, public sentiment,‎ and predictive scenarios to demonstrate how political and corporate strategies jointly reshape global‎ communication structures. The findings reveal deep polarisation of public opinion on digital regulation, ‎while predictive results suggest that ongoing fragmentation may accelerate the formation of regional‎ platforms and increase digital isolation. The paper concludes with recommendations for policymakers to‎ develop adaptable legal and governance frameworks capable of addressing the geopolitical complexity ‎of contemporary digital environments.‎

Keywords

DIGITAL ECOSYSTEMS; FRAGMENTATION; POLITICAL DECISIONS UNDER GEOPOLITICAL CONDITIONS; PLATFORM GOVERNANCE; PREDICTIVE MODELLING; SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (NLP)

Hrčak ID:

344245

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/344245

Publication date:

6.2.2026.

Article data in other languages: croatian

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