Preliminary communication
Model of Developement of Passengers Transport Demand in Croatian Maritime Traffic System
Marijan Rajsman
Ivo Beroš
Abstract
The subject of this study is the research of the dynamics and the possibility of modelling the development of the passenger`s transport demands in the maritime traffic system in the Republic of Croatia. The studied traffic variable in its characteristic, is a quantitative index of the transport demands in the public passengers transport, which is shown by the number of passangers transported in public traffic. The current situation in the transport system is determined in terms of the corresponding mathematical and statistical analysis of the passengers transport demands and the mathematical prognostic trend model of the dynamics and the development of the traffic variable. The model of traffic variable is represented by the corresponding equation as well as with the calculated coefficient of determination which are used as a quality standard which establishes the level of statististical significance of the set data by the equation model.The equation model describes the development pattern of the studied traffic variable during the observation period. The scientific methods, especially mathematical statistics, and the mehods of modelling, that is, computer programme Microsoft excel have been used in the research and in the formulating of the results.
Keywords
model; developement; passenger transport demand; maritime traffic system; dynamic
Hrčak ID:
8095
URI
Publication date:
26.10.2006.
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