Original scientific paper
What Preceded HDZ's Failure at the 2000 Elections: Results of Public Opinion Polis from 1991 to 1999
Vesna LAMZA POSAVEC
; Institute of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar, Zagreb
Abstract
ln this work the author presents the main determinants of the
public's relationship towards the Croatian Democratic Union
in the period from 1991 to 1999 registered in a longitudinal
research of the Institute of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar in
Zagreb. Based on its findings, some of the possible reasons
why the party had lost the support of the voting majority at
the 2000 elections for the House of Counties have been
indicated. The results of the analysis conducted suggest that
the main reasons are a significantly weakened voting
position of the HDZ, with regard to the previous elections: l)
the decrease of fundamental support to the party, as a
consequence of the moral credibility and unfulfilled
expectations of the public concerning the country's economic
prosperity and growth of living standard; 2) the lack of a
"big" social event wich would, except for its thrue importance
for Croatia and its population, be also of great national and
symbolic significance. Additional reasons are also possible
(which probably had a minor influence on the election
results), such as a certain dwindling of the electorate after
the death of Tuđman, as well as a new way of articulating
political alternative, as a result of election coalitioning of the
most important oppositional parties at the time.
Keywords
Hrčak ID:
31542
URI
Publication date:
31.10.2000.
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