Original scientific paper
THE MISSING PART: WITHDRAWAL OF OPINION IN RESEARCH OF VOTING INTENTIONS
Vesna Lamza Posavec
; Institute of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar, Zagreb
Ivan Rimac
; Institute of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar, Zagreb
Abstract
In this research the authors' aim was to explore the hypothesis
that there is a difference with regard to some features relevant
for participation in elections and voting preferences between persons
who during questioning refuse to answer about their voting
intentions for the elections and persons who agree to do so. In the
results of the analyses (one-way analysis of variance, discriminative
analysis), carried out on corresponding research data from
1996 and 1997, there were extracted certain specific features of
unresponsive examinees based on which we can, with a degree
of probability, predict the examinees' electional behaviour. Examinees
who withhold answers are much less informed about the
elections and are less interested in them than persons who express
their voting preferences, meaning that their turnout at the
elections will probably be much lower. As regards those who will
come to the elections, based on the registered political atlitudes,
it seems more probable that they will proportionally vote more often
for some of the oppositional parties than for the ruling party.
Keywords
Hrčak ID:
31596
URI
Publication date:
31.10.1997.
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