hrcak mascot   Srce   HID

Original scientific paper

Case Study: Analysis of the Puls Agency Exit Poll Methodology

Dragan BAGIĆ   ORCID icon orcid.org/0000-0002-0371-838X ; Faculty of Philosophy; Zagreb
Vesna LAMZA POSAVEC ; Institute of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar; Zagreb

Fulltext: croatian, pdf (246 KB) pages 695-721 downloads: 1.196* cite
APA 6th Edition
BAGIĆ, D. & LAMZA POSAVEC, V. (2008). STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS. Društvena istraživanja, 17 (4-5 (96-97)), 695-721. Retrieved from https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432
MLA 8th Edition
BAGIĆ, Dragan and Vesna LAMZA POSAVEC. "STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS." Društvena istraživanja, vol. 17, no. 4-5 (96-97), 2008, pp. 695-721. https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432. Accessed 28 Oct. 2021.
Chicago 17th Edition
BAGIĆ, Dragan and Vesna LAMZA POSAVEC. "STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS." Društvena istraživanja 17, no. 4-5 (96-97) (2008): 695-721. https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432
Harvard
BAGIĆ, D., and LAMZA POSAVEC, V. (2008). 'STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS', Društvena istraživanja, 17(4-5 (96-97)), pp. 695-721. Available at: https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432 (Accessed 28 October 2021)
Vancouver
BAGIĆ D, LAMZA POSAVEC V. STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS. Društvena istraživanja [Internet]. 2008 [cited 2021 October 28];17(4-5 (96-97)):695-721. Available from: https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432
IEEE
D. BAGIĆ and V. LAMZA POSAVEC, "STUDIJ SLUČAJA: ANALIZA METODOLOGIJE IZLAZNIH ANKETA AGENCIJE PULS", Društvena istraživanja, vol.17, no. 4-5 (96-97), pp. 695-721, 2008. [Online]. Available: https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432. [Accessed: 28 October 2021]

Abstracts
In an attempt to improve exit polls in Croatia, a detailed
analysis was carried out of the exit poll methodology used by
the agency Puls in the last few elections. The results of the
analysis showed that the main biases of the applied
methodological approaches were related to the coverage of
potential respondents, mostly due to survey non-response,
biased sampling procedures and, consequently to inefficient
statistical correction procedures aimed at reducing such
research biases. In addition to a more cautious interpretation
and public presentation of results, it would be best in the
future to improve the existing and develop some new
methodological solutions, especially predictive models of
election outcomes in which the exit polls data would be one
of its constituent elements.

Keywords
exit polls; public opinion research; survey methodology

Hrčak ID: 29432

URI
https://hrcak.srce.hr/29432

[croatian] [german]

Visits: 2.506 *