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https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014

A new link function for the prediction of binary variables

Gloria Gheno   ORCID icon orcid.org/0000-0002-8257-0490 ; Free University of Bolzano-Bozen, Italy

Puni tekst: engleski, pdf (669 KB) str. 67-77 preuzimanja: 85* citiraj
APA 6th Edition
Gheno, G. (2018). A new link function for the prediction of binary variables. Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, 4 (2), 67-77. https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014
MLA 8th Edition
Gheno, Gloria. "A new link function for the prediction of binary variables." Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, vol. 4, br. 2, 2018, str. 67-77. https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014. Citirano 17.11.2019.
Chicago 17th Edition
Gheno, Gloria. "A new link function for the prediction of binary variables." Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics 4, br. 2 (2018): 67-77. https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014
Harvard
Gheno, G. (2018). 'A new link function for the prediction of binary variables', Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, 4(2), str. 67-77. https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014
Vancouver
Gheno G. A new link function for the prediction of binary variables. Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics [Internet]. 2018 [pristupljeno 17.11.2019.];4(2):67-77. https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014
IEEE
G. Gheno, "A new link function for the prediction of binary variables", Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, vol.4, br. 2, str. 67-77, 2018. [Online]. https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2018-0014

Sažetak
If there are no heavy sanctions in place to prevent it, the problem of the cancellation of appointments can lead to huge economic losses and can have a significant impact on underutilized resources of healthcare facilities. A good model to predict the appointment cancellations could be an effective solution to this problem. Therefore, a new Bayesian method is proposed to estimate accurately the probability of the cancellation of visits to healthcare institutions based on specific factors such as age. This model uses the regression for binary variables, linking the explanatory variables to the probability of appearance at a previously made appointment with a new weighted function and estimating the parameters with the Bayesian method. The goodness of the new method is demonstrated by applying it to a real case and by comparing it to other methodologies. Therefore, the advantages of the proposed method are exposed and possible real-world applications are described.

Ključne riječi
Bayesian method; binary variables; cancellation prediction; heath care; link function

Hrčak ID: 209783

URI
https://hrcak.srce.hr/209783

Posjeta: 132 *