Agroeconomia Croatica, Vol. 8 No. 1, 2018.
Preliminary communication
Outlook and Perspective of Croatian Pork Meat Market - Partial Equilibrium Model Simulation
David Kranjac
; Josip Juraj Strossmayer University in Osijek, Faculty of Agrobiotechnical Sciences Osijek, Croatia
Krunoslav Zmaić
; Josip Juraj Strossmayer University in Osijek, Faculty of Agrobiotechnical Sciences Osijek, Croatia
Emil Erjavec
; Biotehniška fakulteta, Univerza v Ljubljani
Abstract
Outlook on Croatian pork meat market up to the year 2030 was simulated by AGMEMOD partial equilibrium model. The results simulate future changes in the number of pigs, production, consumption, imports, exports and price of pork meat under ceteris paribus market conditions, along with the existing structure of agrarian policy until the end of the simulated period. Despite the decrease in the number of pigs and pork meat production before and after EU accession, a slight recovery of the pork meat market is expected in the forthcoming period. However, domestic production will not meet domestic demand, and Croatia will continue to import pork meat by the end of the simulated period.
Keywords
AGMEMOD; partial equilibrium model; simulation; pigs; pork
Hrčak ID:
214212
URI
Publication date:
14.12.2018.
Visits: 850 *