Skoči na glavni sadržaj

Brodogradnja : An International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering for Research and Development, Vol. 77 No. 3, 2026.

Izvorni znanstveni članak

https://doi.org/10.21278/brod77315

Analyzing the impact of Canal Istanbul on ship traffic dynamics in the Turkish straits: a maritime traffic flow simulation model

Sis Ozgun Yamak Ormeci orcid id orcid.org/0000-0002-3992-2331 ; Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering Department, Surmene Faculty of Marine Sciences, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon, Turkey *
Murat Ozkok ; Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering Department, Surmene Faculty of Marine Sciences, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon, Turkey
Sercan Erol ; Maritime Transportation and Management Engineering Department, Surmene Faculty of Marine Sciences, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon, Turkey
Ercan Kose ; Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering Department, Surmene Faculty of Marine Sciences, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon, Turkey
Ersan Basar orcid id orcid.org/0000-0002-1458-4102 ; Maritime Transportation and Management Engineering Department, Surmene Faculty of Marine Sciences, Karadeniz Technical University, Trabzon, Turkey

* Dopisni autor.

Puni tekst: engleski pdf 2.775 Kb

str. 1-32

preuzimanja: 89

citiraj

Sažetak

The Turkish Straits System (TSS) is one of the world’s busiest maritime corridors, facing congestion challenges due to larger ships, increased transit demand, and regulatory constraints. To address these issues, the Canal Istanbul Project (CIP) has been proposed as an alternative route to improve traffic efficiency and navigational safety. This study develops a maritime traffic system and queuing model based on the Vessel Traffic Flow Problem (VTFP) framework to evaluate the potential impact of CIP on TSS ship traffic. Two traffic models, namely one-way and two-way transit configurations, are simulated using Simio software, integrating historical AIS data and traffic constraints. Scenario analyses indicate that redirecting 90 % of transit ships to Canal Istanbul and 10 % to the Istanbul Strait results in a 36 % reduction in ship density and a 50 % decrease in waiting times. These findings demonstrate that Canal Istanbul has the potential to enhance efficiency and safety in the TSS, offering a data-driven basis for optimizing ship traffic flow in constrained waterways.

Ključne riječi

Canal Istanbul; Turkish Straits System; maritime traffic simulation; queuing theory; vessel traffic flow problem

Hrčak ID:

345656

URI

https://hrcak.srce.hr/345656

Datum izdavanja:

1.7.2026.

Posjeta: 273 *